In Ohio Clinton exceeded poll expectations. She has ended up with a convincing 10% win margin in Ohio, over the preceding 5% poll gap. Going in to the contest yesterday, he had an edge in Texas, but she came out on top with 51 to 48% there. The NAFTA doubts seemed to have impact particularly in Ohio. He and his campaign were clumsy handling the goofed affair, and was caught unprepared Monday when Clinton released the last ad suggesting his honesty on the NAFTA issue was insincere.
The red phone ad by itself might not have had the desired effect on last night's outcome. However, since Saturday she has been on a roll, appearing on Saturday Night Live, which projected a more playful Hillary, as did her Monday appearance on the Daily Show with Jon Stewart.
Her three wins last night are significant. Now she has to maintain a renewed momentum. He will now be tested to see if he really has the right stuff. He will have to offer voters more forward thinking reasons to vote for him, quickly and clearly fend off attacks on him.
Obama has a delegate lead (1451 to 1365) but it's a delicate delegate lead right now.
Next stop, Wyoming, Saturday, March 8.
Showing posts with label March 4 primaries. Show all posts
Showing posts with label March 4 primaries. Show all posts
Wednesday, March 05, 2008
Monday, March 03, 2008
Clinton Attacking Fiercely on the day before Make or Break Vote
More detail to follow Tuesday morning on the Obama/NAFTA story
Negative ads are used because they can have the desired impact for the person behind it. The latest Hillary ad goes after Obama's position on NAFTA. In public he had said it wants it to be renegotiated, but her ad alleges that he said in a private conversation, that his words were just for political purposes. Hillary bounced on this. In a statement to the media, she accuses Obama of double-speak, telling Ohio voters one thing about NAFTA, and telling the Canadian Consulate in Chicago another thing about NAFTA.
From this site
Obama's camp says it was not his words but rather a staffer's interpretation.
This information may have been planned for days, and her team waited till today, the day before four primaries Tuesday, to spring the ad, and leaving the Obama team little time to defend, and try to counter the attack. This could sway some votes her way, unless his defense and response are strong and neutralize her ad's message. At this time, her allegation seems strong. It leaves doubts about Obama. The timing of her ad at the 11th hour is evidence that Texas and Ohio are crucial battlegrounds for Clinton. Even a narrow win for her will give her the momentum she has been lacking for over two months, and she will stay in the race till April's next primaries.
The polls are a statistical tie in both Ohio and Texas, 47-43% for Hillary in Ohio, 46-45% for Obama in Texas, with the remaining percentages being undecideds. Hillary will need to win hugely to equal Obama's overall lead in delegates, which is 1379 to 1269. Texas Latinos were a large part of Hillary's support, but Obama appeals to youth, so he may end up getting the "Lateeno" vote, thus stealing from Clinton.
With today's sneak attack from Hillary, and the close polls, it would not be surprising if Hillary does squeak out a win in Ohio and Texas. But, will it be enough to significantly bridge the delegate gap, and give the impression that she indeed has momentum? Will there be basically a 50-50 voter/delegate split, or will Clinton's assertive campaigning entice more voters her way? It's getting interesting again.
Negative ads are used because they can have the desired impact for the person behind it. The latest Hillary ad goes after Obama's position on NAFTA. In public he had said it wants it to be renegotiated, but her ad alleges that he said in a private conversation, that his words were just for political purposes. Hillary bounced on this. In a statement to the media, she accuses Obama of double-speak, telling Ohio voters one thing about NAFTA, and telling the Canadian Consulate in Chicago another thing about NAFTA.
From this site
A memo obtained by The Associated Press suggests Obama's economic policy adviser privately told Canadian officials to look at the Democratic candidate's attack on free trade as "political positioning" rather than policy.
Obama's camp says it was not his words but rather a staffer's interpretation.
This information may have been planned for days, and her team waited till today, the day before four primaries Tuesday, to spring the ad, and leaving the Obama team little time to defend, and try to counter the attack. This could sway some votes her way, unless his defense and response are strong and neutralize her ad's message. At this time, her allegation seems strong. It leaves doubts about Obama. The timing of her ad at the 11th hour is evidence that Texas and Ohio are crucial battlegrounds for Clinton. Even a narrow win for her will give her the momentum she has been lacking for over two months, and she will stay in the race till April's next primaries.
The polls are a statistical tie in both Ohio and Texas, 47-43% for Hillary in Ohio, 46-45% for Obama in Texas, with the remaining percentages being undecideds. Hillary will need to win hugely to equal Obama's overall lead in delegates, which is 1379 to 1269. Texas Latinos were a large part of Hillary's support, but Obama appeals to youth, so he may end up getting the "Lateeno" vote, thus stealing from Clinton.
With today's sneak attack from Hillary, and the close polls, it would not be surprising if Hillary does squeak out a win in Ohio and Texas. But, will it be enough to significantly bridge the delegate gap, and give the impression that she indeed has momentum? Will there be basically a 50-50 voter/delegate split, or will Clinton's assertive campaigning entice more voters her way? It's getting interesting again.
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